"Navigating uncertainty is indeed much more than just managing risk. This book lays out a compelling argument on how institutions can transform uncertainty from a threat into new opportunities."<br /><b>Achim Steiner, Administrator, United Nations Development Programme</b><br /><br />"Drawing on 40 years of experience with failures of prediction, Scoones delivers a powerful critique of modernity’s obsession with quantification and control. Uncertainty is inevitable, he argues, but robust social networks can help guard us against risks that we could not have foretold."<br /><b>Sheila Jasanoff, Harvard University<br /><br /></b>“Scoones […] offers a fresh perspective on the subject, providing real-life examples of how different cultures navigate uncertainty.”<br /><b>Samuele Lo Piano, <i>Minerva</i></b><br /><br />“This important book […] explains key lessons learned, especially with respect to policy and decision-making processes, as well as political and economic contexts. […] This is a key briefing, especially for policy makers.”<br /><b><i>Paradigm Explorer</i>, Magazine of the Scientific & Medical Network</b>
Drawing on experiences from across the world, the chapters in this book explore finance and banking, technology regulation, critical infrastructures, pandemics, natural disasters and climate change. Each chapter contrasts an approach centred on risk and control, where we assume we know about and can manage the future, with one that is more flexible, responding to uncertainty.
The book argues that we need to adjust our modernist, controlling view and to develop new approaches, including some reclaimed and adapted from previous times or different cultures. This requires a radical rethinking of policies, institutions and practices for successfully navigating uncertainties in an increasingly turbulent world.
Chapter 2. Finance: Real Markets as Complex Systems
Chapter 3. Technology: What is Safe for Whom?
Chapter 4. Critical Infrastructures: How to Keep the Lights On and the Animals Alive
Chapter 5. Pandemics: Building Responses from Below
Chapter 6. Disasters: Why Prediction and Planning are Not Enough
Chapter 7. Climate Change: Multiple Knowledges, Diverse Actions
Chapter 8. Looking Forward: From Fear to Hope, from Control to Care