In a probabilistic model, a rare event is an event with a very small
probability of occurrence. The forecasting of rare events is a
formidable task but is important in many areas. For instance a
catastrophic failure in a transport system or in a nuclear power
plant, the failure of an information processing system in a bank, or
in the communication network of a group of banks, leading to financial
losses. Being able to evaluate the probability of rare events is
therefore a critical issue. Monte Carlo Methods, the simulation of
corresponding models, are used to analyze rare events. This book sets
out to present the mathematical tools available for the efficient
simulation of rare events. Importance sampling and splitting are
presented along with an exposition of how to apply these tools to a
variety of fields ranging from performance and dependability
evaluation of complex systems, typically in computer science or in
telecommunications, to chemical reaction analysis in biology or
particle transport in physics. Graduate students, researchers and
practitioners who wish to learn and apply rare event simulation
techniques will find this book beneficial.
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Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9780470745410
Publisert
2018
Utgave
1. utgave
Utgiver
Vendor
Wiley Professional, Reference & Trade
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Digital bok
Forfatter