<i>‘</i>From Uncertainty to Policy <i>expertly tackles the challenge of forecasting migration in an unpredictable world. This volume equips scholars and policymakers with robust, realistic methods to navigate inherent uncertainties while taking a pragmatic approach to scenario building. An indispensable resource for crafting informed views onto possible migration futures.’</i>
- Steven Vertovec, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Religious and Ethnic Diversity, Germany,
<i>‘Migration is not easy to predict but this excellent book covers all the issues that researchers and practitioners need to know to do the difficult job. Central to the message is the embracement of uncertainty about things we both understand and do not understand.’</i>
- James Raymer, The Australian National University, Australia,
Through conceptual, theoretical and methodological analysis, From Uncertainty to Policy: A Guide to Migration Scenarios outlines the current state of the art in future-oriented migration studies. Highlighting key lessons and recommendations, expert contributors assess both the opportunities and limitations of scenario building as an analytical device. They combine demographic, statistical, sociological, economic, geographic and political science expertise to develop a new multi-step process for estimating, predicting and simulating migration flows and patterns. Ultimately, the book emphasises the importance of accounting for uncertainty and complexity in migration policy and presents practical tools for accurately measuring and managing migration now and in the future.
Advancing the methodology of setting migration scenarios under uncertainty, this book is an essential resource for migration practitioners, advisors and policy-makers and a valuable read for students and scholars of migration studies, geography and population sciences.