Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff (Volume II of the
Working Guides to Estimating & Forecasting series) considers many of
the commonly used Descriptive Statistics in the world of estimating
and forecasting. It considers values that are representative of the
‘middle ground’ (Measures of Central Tendency), and the degree of
data scatter (Measures of Dispersion and Shape) around the ‘middle
ground’ values. A number of Probability Distributions and where they
might be used are discussed, along with some fascinating and useful
‘rules of thumb’ or short-cut properties that estimators and
forecasters can exploit in plying their trade. With the help of a
‘Correlation Chicken’, the concept of partial correlation is
explained, including how the estimator or forecaster can exploit this
in reflecting varying levels of independence and imperfect dependence
between an output or predicted value (such as cost) and an input or
predictor variable such as size. Under the guise of ‘Tails of the
unexpected’ the book concludes with two chapters devoted to
Hypothesis Testing (or knowing when to accept or reject the validity
of an assumed estimating relationship), and a number of
statistically-based tests to help the estimator to decide whether to
include or exclude a data point as an ‘outlier’, one that appears
not to be representative of that which the estimator is tasked to
produce. This is a valuable resource for estimators, engineers,
accountants, project risk specialists as well as students of cost
engineering.
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Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9781351661379
Publisert
2020
Utgave
1. utgave
Utgiver
Vendor
Routledge
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Digital bok
Forfatter